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Elon Musk vs Donald Trump: Who Has More Impact on U.S. Stocks

In 2025, two names dominate both headlines and the stock market: Elon Musk and Donald Trump. Both are highly influential, controversial, and capable of moving markets with a single statement or social media post. While one represents the future of tech and innovation, the other brings political power and cultural influence that still shakes Wall Street

Elon  and Trump both can  affect investor behavior, stock trends , social media sentiment , and even crypto prices .But few months after the elections ,  Elon vs Trumps started getting attention to the world .


The Power of Personality in Finance .

Over the last decade, we’ve seen a shift in how stock markets behave , it’s no longer just company earnings or macroeconomic data that move prices , personality-driven investing is now a real phenomenon. People buy or sell stocks based on what influencers , CEOs , or politicians say online. Elon Musk and Donald Trump are the top two in this category.

Elon Musk: Tech’s Wild Genius Who Moves Markets ?

Tesla Stock in 2025 – Once considered untouchable in the electric vehicle (EV) space, Tesla is now facing real competition, regulatory headwinds, and shifting investor sentiment .

In the first half of 2025, Tesla stock took a hit as global EV sales slowed down—especially in China and Europe. Rising interest rates, softer consumer demand, and more affordable competitors like BYD and Hyundai chipped away at Tesla’s dominance.

China , Tesla’s second-largest market, reported lower-than-expected Model 3 and Model Y deliveries in Q2. Meanwhile, German regulators hit Tesla with new scrutiny over its Autopilot marketing claims, adding legal pressure abroad .

As of July 2025, TESLA is trading around $293 per share , down roughly 15% from its February high .

Elon Musk is doubling down on the future. In Tesla’s April AI Day, Musk showcased Tesla’s Optimus robot and teased that full self-driving (FSD) could be deployed for public robotaxi use by early 2026.

Wall Street took notice. The announcement gave Tesla stock a temporary lift of about 12%, and some analysts called it a “moonshot moment” , if Tesla can deliver.

Still, many are skeptical . Musk has made bold predictions about FSD for years, and the robotaxi rollout has been delayed multiple times . Investors are watching closely to see if this time, it’s for real .


Donald Trump: The Comeback King and Political Stock Mover ?

As the Republican frontrunner for the 2024 U.S. election , he is everywhere. His words shake political stocks, social media platforms, and traditional sectors like defense , energy , and finance .

Trump’s media company , Trump Media & Technology Group, which owns Truth Social, trades under the ticker DJT . Since going public in early 2024, DJT has been a meme stock darling. In June 2025, the stock spiked 35% after Trump’s rally speech criticizing Biden’s energy policies and promising a business-friendly approach.

Despite poor financials, retail traders treat DJT stock like a political bet . If Trump is leading in the polls , the stock jumps. If he faces legal trouble or poll numbers drop, so does the stock. It’s highly speculative but full of activity.

In April 2025 , after promising to revive oil pipelines and reduce green energy subsidies, ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Raytheon all saw sharp gains . Trump’s “America First” strategy plays well for companies tied to domestic manufacturing and fossil fuel production.


Stock Volatility in the 2025 Election Year 

Elon’s Political Leanings – While Musk doesn’t run for office , his political opinions are getting louder. In 2025, he has criticized both Democrats and Republicans but seems to lean libertarian . His recent tweet calling the IRS “a corrupt waste of taxpayer money” sparked debate , and Tesla stock dipped briefly before recovering .

Trump’s Campaign Impact

Trump’s speeches move more than crowds – they move portfolios . Every campaign promise he makes is analyzed by Wall Street:

  • Cutting taxes? Positive for S&P 500 .

  • Deportation crackdowns ? Boost for private prison stocks .

  • Defense spending ? Raytheon and Lockheed Martin rise .


Elon vs Trump: Social Media Influence Battle

Elon on X

Elon Musk’s tweets are market events . When he posts about Dogecoin, the coin rallies . When he talks about Tesla’s robotaxi program , TSLA stock jumps. Even jokes and memes can move billions in market cap . In June 2025, a tweet saying “Starlink will IPO next year” caused Reddit and Discord groups to flood with speculation – raising related satellite stocks .

Trump on Truth Social

While smaller than X , Trump’s presence on Truth Social is powerful among his base . When he shares clips or statements, conservative investors react . In 2025 , Truth Social has fewer users than X but remains highly engaged , especially during political rallies or legal updates .


Real-Time Impact on Stocks

1. Tesla’s AI Day – April 2025

Tesla revealed advancements in full self-driving and Optimus bots. Musk said, “This will change the economy more than the internet .” Tesla stock rose 12% in two days , and AI-focused ETFs like QQQ and ARKQ jumped.

2. Trump Rally – March 2025

Trump held a major rally in Florida and promised to cut corporate taxes and bring back fossil fuel subsidies . DJT stock spiked 22% the next morning . Energy ETFs like XLE rose by 4%.

3. Elon’s Tweet on Bitcoin – May 2025

Musk posted : “I still own BTC and think it’s going to $100K.” Bitcoin rose 9% within 24 hours , and companies like Coinbase (COIN) and MicroStrategy (MSTR) saw double-digit gains .


The Risk of Personality-Driven Investing

While these figures bring excitement and energy to the market, there’s a downside too.

  • Volatility : Stocks connected to Elon or Trump are very reactive . Quick gains are possible , but so are sharp losses .

  • Misinformation : Not all their statements are accurate or timely. Traders can get burned .

Emotional Bias : Investing based on loyalty or ideology instead of fundamentals can lead to losses .


Musk or Trump: Who Has More Impact ?

When it comes to technology , artificial intelligence , and cryptocurrencies , Elon Musk is clearly in the driver’s seat . His companies , tweets , and product launches directly influence the direction of innovation , and investors hang on to every word . Whether it’s a robotaxi demo or a cryptic Dogecoin tweet , Musk continues to set the pace for tech-fueled speculation .

In sectors like politics , energy , and defense , Donald Trump’s influence is hard to ignore . His speeches , policy promises , and even legal headlines have immediate effects on oil stocks , military contractors , and companies tied to conservative values . When Trump talks , the traditional economy listens .



 

 

 

 

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